Russia – Predicament and Priority
March 18, 2022
Russia – Predicament and Priority
Padmini Arhant
President Vladimir Putin prior to invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022 expressed grievance and distress on Kiev government’s failure to implement Minsk 1 and II agreements from 2014 and 2015.
Moscow despite being a signatory to Minsk agreements I and II denied any participation in the Donbas region unrest absolving itself of any responsibility in particular reference to foreign viz. Russian troop withdrawal from eastern Ukraine. In this regard, Moscow violated the Minsk agreement as a signatory of the accord.
Additionally, Moscow is also obligatory to guarantee Ukraine’s security on sovereign rights and territorial integrity as signatory to Budapest Memorandum agreed to by Russia, Britain and the United States in 1994. The Budapest memorandum categorically calls for all three signatories to observe Ukraine’s political independence, sovereignty and borders underscoring the major powers to refrain from military measures against sovereign Ukraine.
Again, Russia defaulted in honoring commitment made in the Budapest memorandum. Russia could have extended necessary support and facilitated peaceful resolution to protect Ukrainian, Donbas residents and Russian security interests.
Moscow then stated the calls from Donetsk and Luhansk separatists leadership to come to their aid from Kiev’s violence as the reason for Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine. Though, the issue could have been addressed without any military intervention from Moscow.
The trilateral Minsk agreements I and II between Kiev, the Donbas separatists leaders and Moscow could have been revisited with necessary adjustments to accommodate the side viz. Kiev arguably not satisfied on the territorial secession in alignment with any nation in any region including Russia disapproval of sedition and segregation of sovereign territory.
The issue could have been resolved with mutual understanding and recognition of security interests on all sides rather than authorizing military invasion of Ukraine.
Moscow could have handled the dispute between Kiev and Donbas separatist groups similar to Moscow’s role in the Armenian and Azerbaijan long standing skirmishes and September – November 2020 war resulting in Moscow brokered ceasefire in November 2020.
Moscow handling of situation against Ukraine drastically escalating violence in air raids is extreme and contradictory to positions maintained earlier of having no interest to invade and occupy Ukraine.
Furthermore, Moscow has detailed the following against the west – the United States and NATO operations.
1. Problem: The United States financed bio labs in Ukraine. According to Moscow’s military, they have documentary evidence to this effect.
Solution: Russia presenting evidence to UN General Assembly to all member nations would clarify the allegations one way or another.
The removal of bio chemicals and shutting down the labs in Ukraine could then be followed to protect Ukrainians, Russians and others in Eastern Europe.
2. Problem: Russia’s specific goals in Ukraine regarding demilitarization and denazification.
There is no doubt the United Stated paid and hired private army and mercenaries viz. Blackwater deeply tainted indulgence in Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Syria and Libya among several other locations with Ukraine one of them in the long list of their widespread involvement since inception of the company wreaked havoc in human rights violations and reckless violent activities never subject to scrutiny nor any accountability.
Blackwater is founded by former U.S. Navy SEAL Erik Prince in 1996 changed name to Xe services LLC in 2009 and thereafter acquired by private investors and renamed U.S. Academi in 2011 retaining the services as proxy army and security contractor albeit proved otherwise on the ground i.e. sabotage peace and security.
The price tag for such service admittedly range from $200,000 – $220,000 a day making only the deep pockets nation afford such extravaganza.
The United States contracted private army Xe Services aka U.S. Academi presence in Ukraine in March 2014 and later led to Maidan square chaos in Kiev in 2014. The tumult rapidly accelerated into U.S. and EU coup d’etat against then democratically elected government of Ukraine.
The western insurrection continued in Kiev with then incumbent President Viktor Yanukovich overthrown from power literally at gun point on global watch much to international dismay.
Notwithstanding, the United States and Britain’s violation of 1994 Budapest Memorandum to abstain from military actions not barring private army such as Blackwater aka Xe services or Academi and any other outfits engagement in Ukraine in 2014 and then onwards leading to status quo.
The United States and EU installed neo-nazi government in Ukraine subsequent to overthrow of President Yanukovych government in 2014 added fuel to rising tensions in Crimea and eastern Donbas region.
Solution: Russia’s complete ceasefire ending air strikes, missiles, rockets and other aerial, marine and ground activities effective immediately in Ukraine is the urgent priority.
The United States deployed private army U.S.Academi and mercenaries to be removed with instant departure from Ukraine and neighboring NATO ally states to prevent any false operations and otherwise upon Russian ceasefire.
The neo-nazi factions in Ukraine are to be disenfranchised from Ukrainian governance and political power sharing to free Ukraine from undemocratic influence.
The above outlined actions should redress Ukraine and Russia’s security concerns and civilian safety in the embattled zone.
3. Problem: Kremlin’s complaint regarding western weapons supply to Ukraine.
Solution: Kremlin ceasing above specified military operations comprehensively in Ukraine and resuming peaceful negotiations as enunciated in the Ukraine – Russia permanent peace treaty 2022 in this domain would appropriately halt western ammunition delivery to Ukraine.
Western default post Russian ceasefire would be addressed accordingly in the event of such error.
It is a litmus test for all sides on compliance with necessary actions and rules of engagement.
4. Problem: Humanitarian Corridor to allow safe civilian evacuation.
Solution: The termination of Russian military aggression in entirety besides any foreign participation from any sources in disguise conducting military attacks and assaults on Ukraine’s infrastructure whether areas near nuclear power plants, civilian complexes of any types and other premise should essentially stymie the need for civilians to flee their native territory.
All efforts translated into decisive actions to cease hostility to protect lives of Ukrainians, Russians, International students trapped in the bunkers is yet another priority.
Russian military authority leading the way in ceasefire and withdrawal in this context is crucial for others to follow suit.
5. Problem: NATO expansion.
Solution: Russia – NATO permanent peace treaty 2022 provided in this domain to be discussed and established in place simultaneously with Ukraine – Russia permanent peace treaty 2022.
The protocol to begin at the immediate ceasefire and withdrawal of forces from Russia.
Meanwhile the exchange of prisoners of war (POW) ensuring safe return of combat personnel on Ukraine and Russian side not excluding volunteers representing Ukrainian line of defense are to be treated humanely in accordance with Geneva convention and international rule of law.
They all have to be released for return back to their country of origin and reunion with their family.
Civilian plight has been enormous as expected in any warfare. The civilians affected in the last 21 days of Russian invasion and occupation of Ukraine are to be provided humanitarian assistance and rehabilitation with ultimate safety and security of their return back home.
Upon compliance of all of these critical and monumental requirements towards peaceful settlement, the sanctions relief against Russian economy to enable Russian population survival and recovery from economic repercussions would be the next phase of priority.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Kremlin’s predicament and priorities are effectively dealt in ending violence against Ukraine.
The Russian leadership abandoning continuation of military operations in and around Ukraine and instead adopting peaceful approach are guaranteed to mitigate confrontations and challenges facing Russia and neighbor Ukraine.
Peace to Ukraine and Russia!
Padmini Arhant
Author & Presenter
PadminiArhant.com
Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com
Russian Ceasefire and Withdrawal from Ukraine
March 17, 2022
Russian Ceasefire and Withdrawal from Ukraine
Padmini Arhant
President Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukraine is a terrible loss for Russia and Russian citizens unnecessarily subject to death and devastation.
The original intention to eliminate specific targets in Ukraine now expanded well and beyond civilian areas is a blowback for Russian leadership caught in the quagmire that could be brought to conclusion at the moment.
Russia is under severe economic crises experienced at the onset and during the global pandemic. The economic and financial situation is now exacerbated in the ongoing war against Ukraine attracting economic sanctions.
The current warfare against Ukraine is a major economic liability for Russia. Not to mention the casualties suffered on Russian side reportedly creating the most undesirable consideration among Russian authority to recruit mercenaries and fringe elements from Libya and Syria to fight in Ukraine.
This is a very dangerous move for Russia and best abandoned as the result of such endeavor in Libya and Syria inevitably proved dismal and disastrous for recruiters of these types to fight the war.
Similar operation in Iraq with United States and NATO hired Blackwater was a phenomenal blunder with massacre and human rights violations committed without any checks and balances to human or economic cost in that foreign invasion.
President Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine is costing the Russian economy heavily with food supplies and essential goods running low, the domestic status is dire. The shortage of military hardware spare parts and components seemingly affecting Russian combat capability.
As mentioned earlier on this site, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukraine has transformed into Kremlin’s war on Russian citizens and Russian economy.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has the opportunity to save Russia from excruciating economic catastrophe that Russia is being led into right now with extravagant military aggression against Ukraine.
The recognition of tsunami of problems blindsided by personal goals endanger the nation and authority. Those who ventured in this direction in the past and recent memory have met with colossal failure and unmitigated challenges thus far. It is not going to be different this time or in the future.
Russian intellect, prudence and pragmatism awakening in society is critical to end the conflict in Ukraine.
The entire nation of Russia silenced over the single authority’s adamant position to invade a sovereign nation is a fatal error reflected in the battle ground and economic reality.
Russian President Vladimir Putin rejecting violence for peace is urgent and saving grace for Russia.
The Russian President’s direct engagement with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky for peaceful resolution is the immediate course to prevent further damages to Russian economy and importantly save lives all around in Ukraine and Russia.
Padmini Arhant
Author & Presenter
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Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com
Russia – Invasion of Ukraine
March 15, 2022
Russia – Invasion of Ukraine
Padmini Arhant
President Vladimir Putin’s ongoing aggression in Ukraine claiming the war is all about demilitarization and denazification while the recent Russian military air strikes, rockets, relentless bombing and shelling of civilian areas not even sparing children’s hospital with maternity ward ironically exemplify nazi style indiscriminate violence against innocent civilians in Ukraine.
President Vladimir Putin’s grudge and grievances against Ukrainians citing the Russian assault targets nationalists in Ukraine again when the Russian President Vladimir Putin’s action is characteristic of nationalism.
The Russian President Vladimir Putin’s reason on the Ukraine invasion is to eliminate members and groups referred to as nationalists allegedly committed violence against ethnic Russians and Russian speaking population in Donbas region, eastern Ukraine.
Juxtaposed, the Russian President’s move against entire Ukrainians not barring Russian Ukrainians killed and the survivors evacuated as refugees in the military combat by Russian artillery profoundly define President Vladimir Putin’s vulnerability and inconsistency in justifying the unjustifiable military intervention in Ukraine.
Notwithstanding Kremlin’s violent crackdown on own population in Moscow and other major cities typically a war on political dissent in the home ground confirm the war in Ukraine is in pursuit of President Vladimir Putin’s personal goals.
The Russian President’s long term aspiration to annex Ukraine not just Donbas region in eastern Ukraine, but the sovereign nation in entirety is clear now in the intensified and extensive military campaign aimed at western Ukraine as well.
What is the compelling factor for President Vladimir Putin’s reluctance to ceasefire and withdrawal from Ukraine?
Obviously, it is not Russian population in eastern Ukraine as stated earlier at the onset and during invasion. The Russians plight in Russia is domestically and internationally known to be oppressed and tragic. The complete lack of freedom along with miserable political and economic status for the local Russians in the vast country is an open secret.
The Russian citizens in Russia are denied basic rights and individual liberty to peacefully oppose the war. They are not allowed to speak against violent operation carried out in their name using public paid taxes they neither approve nor support the cause.
In return, the military incursion leaving them and Russian economy in dire straits is the grim reality. The situation is least favorable to Russians in Russia as well as Russians in eastern Ukraine and other post Soviet republics in the region.
The Russian President Vladimir Putin’s major issue with Ukraine is none of the above. In fact, Ukraine’s democracy and independence from the former Soviet empire is the bone of contention.
Ukraine’s democracy at Russia’s doorstep appears to be neither welcome nor appreciated considering Kremlin’s transparency on anti-democratic values and rules against own citizens in Russia.
The revival of former Soviet eastern blocc either via violent aggressive annexation or de facto pro-Russian authority such as in Chechnya, South Ossetia, Abkhazia in the North and South Caucasus – all established in 2008, 2014 and 2022 is President Vladimir Putin’s doctrine.
War is ugly, brutal, merciless and paradoxically harbinger of downfall of dominance, imperialism and totalitarianism. The world is experienced in this regard since time immemorial.
The price paid via economic costs and precipitous decline in the process of resurrecting former Soviet era might soon lead to Russian nation with twenty first century population moving away from twentieth century Kremlin’s iron curtain, unbridled control and power amid rampant corruption and violent seizure of Sovereign territories near and far.
The former Soviet Union and any prevalent system under the pretext of the so-called democracy concentrated in overt or covert oppression, suppression, discrimination via intolerance to individual rights and freedom of choice invariably accompanied by starvation through economic doom and gloom are resigned to self-termination.
All of these activities combined is the tipping point for Kremlin’s soliloquy To Be or Not To Be a past Soviet remnant.
Padmini Arhant
Author & Presenter
PadminiArhant.com
Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com
Ukraine – Russia War Strategy
March 13, 2022
Ukraine – Russia War Strategy
Padmini Arhant
Russian President Vladimir Putin’s personal goals have consistently changed since last November 2021.
President Vladimir Putin up until invasion of Ukraine made public statements via Russian state media and Russian officials in Kremlin’s inner circle like Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov that Russia has no plans to invade Ukraine then or later. Russian President Vladimir Putin stated that Moscow was merely responding to Donetsk and Luhansk separatists leaders in Donbas region request to protect them from Kiev’s armed forces violence. The eight years of political unrest and ethnic clashes in Donbas has trilateral participation as mentioned earlier on this topic via this domain. All three factions i.e. the western installed former Kiev government, the west and Russia are responsible for status quo in eastern Ukraine and the ongoing war.
On February 21, 2022 Russian President Vladimir Putin declared Donetsk and Luhansk independent republics via decree on territories in foreign sovereign nation. Subsequently, Kremlin continued to maintain the political statements on no plans to attack Ukraine. Then moved forward with military invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022. Moscow even then denied any military operations against civilian areas claiming the military strikes strictly targeted Ukraine’s military infrastructure and facilities with the latest row over some more than 30 biolabs that are United States financed according to Moscow.
In this respect, Moscow together with ally Beijing have sought explanations from Washington regarding bio weapons experiment centers in Ukraine. Though Beijing, WHO and counterparts in the United States and EU owe similar submissions on the Corona virus created global health and economic disaster.
That aside, Moscow intensifying shelling and bombing in Ukraine necessitating civilian evacuations to neighboring countries across Ukrainian border is the ground reality. There is no doubt that President Vladimir Putin’s war is not only affecting the innocent population in Ukraine but also seriously hurting Russia and Russian population with lives and economic liability, the inevitable ramifications of all wars without exception.
Russian military casualties involving high rank Major Generals in Ukraine combat exchange is a major blow to President Vladimir Putin’s so-called special operations only expected to deliver more deaths and destructions perhaps on both sides that can never benefit any aggressor drawn into prolonged quagmire.
The international report on recent attack on children’s hospital in Ukraine is the last straw transforming the civilian areas into a war zone. In case, such attack is to trigger No Fly Zone, this movie has already been seen in Libya in 2011 and the deadly consequences of event getting out of control. In this event, NATO misused the No Fly Zone and conducted air raid bombing Libya in March 2011 much to international dismay and Libyan civilians despair.
Ukrainians disappointment and frustration over No Fly Zone not imposed to prevent Russian air strikes is valid. However, the possibility of No Fly Zone (NFZ) leading to deeper conflict is worth consideration. Russian military operation affecting Russia and Russian people deprived of factual information about the war is unsustainable.
Often, the leader of any powerful nation such as Russia embarking on military intervention to annex territories of a sovereign nation near or far, the economic costs of even waging a war weighs down on the outcome. The financial resources and reserves are depleted draining the economy. Furthermore, this present time especially amid dreadful global pandemic caused health and economic catastrophe has inflicted enormous damages in people’s lives with recovery farther away depending on world events.
President Vladimir Putin declaring ceasefire with withdrawal of Russian forces from Ukraine would deliver economic relief besides saving Ukrainian and Russian lives, the immediate priority to facilitate humanitarian efforts.
In the three round of talks held so far between Ukraine and Russia, the agreement on humanitarian corridors on the onset sounds generous and compassionate. The grim reality is the Ukrainians and Russians alike are forced to leave their homeland, towns and villages to escape bombing and violence.
The situation rendering them refugees in foreign shores is tough and inhumane. Instead the Russian President Vladimir Putin ending the killing and demolition would mitigate losses and provide opportunity for healing on both sides of the armed conflict.
The children, elderly, sick, the pregnant mothers and so many are subject to this unnecessary turmoil that must be addressed and paid attention to in the irrational war.
President Vladimir Putin would benefit from stopping the military aggression against Ukraine and diverting to economic revival in the domestic front desperately required for Russian population survival. The action would reconnect Russians with the rest of the world.
Russia has lot to offer positively and war is not the right path to achieve anything that are counterproductive. There is nothing to gain from erroneous and egregious decisions like invasion and occupation of a sovereign nation and territorial integrity.
Russia’s reversal in course from being existential threat to peaceful neighbor and instead extending good reliable relations with those sharing the border and others away from it would be mutually beneficial returning peace, economic growth and prosperity.
Finally, I share my great admiration and appreciation to Ukrainian citizens, soldiers and leadership for their patriotism demonstrated in defending their homeland. In the context of international women’s day just a day ago, the Ukrainian women as mothers, wives, girlfriends, sisters and daughters are truly beautiful in their sacrifice, love and care for their families as well as the country Ukraine they belong to and sadly subject to the struggles since 2014 and up until now.
The real beauty lies in the heart, mind and soul reflected in deeds and dedication. hi
At the same time, the Russian mothers, grandmothers, wives, daughters, sisters and girlfriends experiencing agony and pain over no information or sad news about their sons, fathers, husbands, brothers and boyfriends are enduring difficult times brought upon them by their President Vladimir Putin through warfare against Russia and Russian economic interests though Ukraine is mistakenly treated as the enemy.
The war must come to conclusion heeding humanitarian nature and conditions to save and rehabilitate lives on both sides of the battle.
Peace to Ukraine and Russia.
Padmini Arhant
Author & Presenter
PadminiArhant.com
Prakrithi.PadminiArhsnt.com
Western Sanctions on Russian Specific Interests
March 8, 2022
Western Sanctions on Russian Specific Interests
Padmini Arhant
The western measures to curtail Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war against Ukraine is short of extensive and effective strategy.
For example, the western sanctions on oligarchs reining control over Kremlin policy are barely meaningful.
Britain’s statement on western sanctions to spare Russian and foreign oligarchs empire i.e. investments in Russia and,
United States clarifying the sanctions on oligarchs luxury yachts and jets while the immovable and most valuable real assets left intact by the west deserve explanation to Ukraine.
The Russian oligarchs have defiantly responded on the American action to freeze yachts and jets being ineffective claiming they have their yachts and jets in far away destinations on Indian Ocean like Maldives and exotic island nations having no extradition treaty with United States and the west.
The oligarchs funding, financing and maintaining power in Kremlin are not affected from western sanctions since President Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukrainian and Russian population.
Germany as the richest, affluent and influential nation in western Europe not stepping up to the plate and suspending oil and natural gas consumption from Russia as stated earlier by European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is in a way actively contributing to intense Russian aggression against Ukraine.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz meeting the immediate requirement halting the supply of oil and natural gas from Russia with the action serving as negotiation factor urging Russian President Vladimir Putin to end military invasion and occupation of Ukraine is critical.
Germany’s divestment from Russian oil and gas until Russian termination of military operation in Ukraine would save lives on all sides and prevent the ongoing Russian military intervention from flaring within and across Ukrainian boundary into other parts of Europe.
Germany has alternative suppliers in the international market to address domestic energy procurement. Besides, Germany also has adequate and vast renewable energy resources to supplement energy needs in the domestic economy.
This particular step viz. changing energy partner from Russia to other energy source like Norway, Middle East and United States in the order of proximity would confirm western position as serious and relevant.
Germany’s energy diversion would be significant considering the Russian President Vladimir Putin’s rejection of international call to ceasefire and withdrawal from Ukraine inflicting massive casualties and exodus of Ukrainian population from their homeland.
The western sanctions directed at the oligarchs disposable treasure and other estates combined with Germany’s alternative energy supplier arrangement would further exemplify western stance against Russian war in Ukraine.
Additionally, international moratorium on energy imports from Russia worldwide via UNGA pledge to implement peace in Ukraine alongside averting potential catastrophe in Europe and the rest of the world is urgent and imperative.
Reiterating the earlier situation, President Vladimir Putin’s ceasefire effective immediately concluding the impulsive engagement via military operation is paramount.
The Russian President Vladimir Putin’s commitment to Russia and Russian citizens safety and security demonstrated by allowing peace over violence is the only reasonable and respectable choice to prevent bloodshed and carnage.
The action especially in the reality of Russian forces casualties including the last night major setbacks suffered by Russia at the loss of Major General Andrei Sukhovetsky and Major General Vitaly Gerasimov killed in combat operation is the clarion call to lay down weapons and commence peace process.
Padmini Arhant
Author & Presenter
PadminiArhant.com
Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com
Ukraine – Russia Peace Treaty 2022
March 6, 2022
Russian President Vladimir Putin’s War : The current war waged by President Vladimir Putin is not only against Ukraine, it is also against the people of Russia.
Russian forces have been killed in the so-called special operation initiated and deployed by President Vladimir Putin strictly for personal goals – the revival of Soviet empire confirmed in the latest demands by the Russian President regarding the Donbas region – Donetsk and Luhansk states of Ukraine.
The massive Russian casualties suffered in the last 12 days conflict has prompted the Russian President Vladimir Putin to offer compensation in Russian rubles to Russian families on the loss of lives in the unnecessary battle. Similarly, Russian forces returning home with serious body injury and disabilities that are inevitable in any warfare are being offered government monetary aid.
These efforts need not be expended upon President Vladimir Putin ending the occupation immediately in sincere consideration of Russian lives and Russian economy that are at stake experiencing immense pain and suffering due to the Russian leadership’s irrational ambitions.
These developments are related to earlier venture.
The Russian President Vladimir Putin has treaded on the trail going back in 2008 with South Ossetia and Abkhazia – separated from the sovereign Georgian state in caucasus region.
Likewise previously in Chechnya in the Northern Caucasus declared the defacto republic under Russian Federation.
The Russian President Vladimir Putin’s hardline approach against Chechnya to stifle then secession of Chechnya from Russian control leading to two Chechen wars in 1994-1996 and later in 1999 is now paradoxically promoted in Donbas region by the Russian leadership against Ukraine.
The secessionism from Russia is not tolerated. However, the secessionist activities in Ukraine are facilitated and advanced through direct Russian military invasion of Ukraine.
The Russian leadership’s controversial and contentious policy is by any definition a serious violation of sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine.
The imperialistic quest of major powers persisting in the twenty first century adamantly failing to recognize the new reality on independence of nations and its citizens is ominous for the leadership and those behind interventionism as the way to annex territories via violence and aggression.
The imperialistic dream on revival of empires citing earlier centuries of dominance and insisting on reinstating the era are reminded that such egregious accounts would only lead to eventual dawn of creation of the planet leaving none as the imperial power.
The planet creation and evolution of life remaining at the Supernatural helm with human inhabitation being transitory and transitionary.
The infallible and incontrovertible truth in this context invalidate any imperialistic dominance and invariably succumb to precipitous decline due to unrealistic expansionism in the past, present and expected in the future.
Padmini Arhant
Author & Presenter
PadminiArhant.com
Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com
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Ukraine Update – The Russian President Vladimir Putin’s explanation on the ongoing military operation in Ukraine suggesting the military aggression is carried out to protect Donbas in eastern Ukraine and eliminate nationalists and neo-nazis allegedly using civilians as human shields is beyond reason, sensibility and humanitarian concept.
How is it justifiable to force the Russians and Ukrainian population combined to lay their lives and leave their homeland for the sake of a territory that is part of the sovereign nation Ukraine and those few individuals the Russian President wants to settle scores with, when they are not in the war zone having fled the scene since Russian invasion ?
Besides, history is testament to the fact, no aggressor till date has won the battle against nations regarded a fair game based on miscalculation of those nations’ vulnerability or military capability by the so-called mighty nations with or without nuclear status.
Russia as the former Soviet Republic is already experienced in this respect – invasion and occupation of Afghanistan contributing to the collapse of Soviet Union.
How many more lessons a nation needs to lay the old guards and accept a new reality?
Ukraine is an independent sovereign nation. The illegal invasion and occupation of any sovereign nation by commonly and predominantly major powers have proved a colossal mistake and a failure.
It is not going to be any different this time.
Russian forces are deployed in the unnecessary warfare and Russia is being dragged into long term economic crisis that are far worse than the Russian leadership conducted special operation for personal goals.
President Vladimir Putin ending the military invasion is the only option to mitigate severe economic damages to Russia and importantly saving lives on both sides of the conflict.
No position, power or authority is greater than the will of the people determined to defend their homeland, sovereignty, territorial integrity and above all their individual liberty as citizens of the nation under attack.
Ukraine is currently drawn into defending their country from foreign infiltration.
The Ukrainians are demonstrating their ability to rescue their land from violent destruction by foreign authority. Every nation subject to this dilemma has invariably prevailed due to right not might wins even in the dark age.
Padmini Arhant
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Permanent Peace Treaty 2022
Ukraine – Russia
Padmini Arhant
Ukraine – Russia Peace Treaty 2022
Padmini Arhant
The primary focus is to establish peace in Ukraine including east Ukraine – the Donbas region, Donetsk and Luhansk republics having experienced unrest since the political turmoil in 2014 that began in Kiev’s Maidan square.
It is already established that foreign interference from the west in installing pro-western governments not barring neo-nazi ones in Kiev in 2014 went terribly wrong and then onwards Ukraine’s sovereignty has been subject to extreme trials and tribulations along different territories especially in eastern Ukraine.
Whenever there are foreign intrusions in a country either politically and/or militarily, tensions flare causing chaos and confusion in society.
The western appointed governments in Kiev were engaged in promoting counterproductive strategies then and thereafter that hurt Ukraine than helping the country. The aftermath of Maidan square protests in Kiev in 2014 had spread across eastern region Crimea and Donbas creating insecurity and fear among ethnic Russians and majority Russian speaking population at that time.
There is no doubt the atmosphere in Maidan square in 2014 split the nation into pro-western Ukrainians on one side and pro-Russian Ukrainians on the other side. Such situation typically divide the country. Unfortunately, that was the outcome of Maidan rally in 2014 generating isolation of eastern Ukraine. The citizens in Crimea and Donbas obviously feared for their life and felt threatened considering the violence erupting in Kiev transformed into ethnic clashes giving rise to pro-Russian separatist groups seeking independence.
The death toll from the confrontation between Ukrainian armed forces and pro-Russian separatists reported to be initially 2,600 and now increased to 15,000 or more according to Ukrainian authorities in Kiev. Regardless of low or high figure, the loss of life on any side is regrettable and turbulence in the region contributes to volatility hindering normal existence.
Meanwhile Russian Federation is accused of direct involvement earlier in Crimea leading to Crimean union with Russia. The neighbor Russia foothold in Donbas region allegedly supplying arms to pro-Russian rebels as they are referred to and training them in the last eight years or so alongside Russian military presence in that part of Ukraine fueled further tensions until now.
Although Russia has repeatedly denied these charges, the Russian support in some form or another to separatists in Donetsk, Luhansk and previously Crimea are confirmed via Russian officials statements at UNSC meeting and Russian state media.
The latest being the Russian President Vladimir Putin’d decree recognizing and declaring Donetsk and Luhansk in Donbas as independent republics on February 21, 2022.
The move from Russia as an external nation in Ukraine’s internal affair ignited the spark with subsequent Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022 attracting condemnation and western sanctions that are expected to severely impact the Russian leadership and many others in Russian ministry as well as Duma. Notwithstanding setbacks to Russian financial system with Russian central bank and financial institutions blocked from SWIFT international messaging network.
These effects could have been averted by President Vladimir Putin having been made aware of serious economic and financial repercussions upon Russian military invasion of Ukraine.
The Russian President was reminded via this domain about the former Iraqi President Saddam Hussein treading on the same path in 1990 against Kuwait. The west then launched avalanche of sanctions and military aggression against Iraq citing then Iraqi President’s fatal error.
Following the violence in Donbas region in 2014, the Minsk I and Minsk II agreements were reached in September 2014 and February 2015 respectively between Ukraine, the separatists leaders of Donetsk and Luhansk as well as Russia.
The agreement was witnessed and held in the presence of Germany and France then leaderships in Belarus capital Minsk. The Organization for Security and Co-Operation in Europe (OSCE) was the monitoring authority to observe and verify the ceasefire in the region. The OSCE reported ceasefire violations on all sides adding the Minsk accord was not adhered to by the signatories making it difficult to implement the agreement.
The Minsk I and Minsk II is welcome by Moscow, a signatory on the accord. However, Moscow has absolved itself from responsibility in abiding by the agreement code claiming itself a non-participant in the conflict. The Minsk Ii agreement calls for withdrawal of forces from eastern region, the foreign military in particular reference to Russia being the occupier in the troubled territories of Ukraine.
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The Minsk agreement details in public domain is as follows:
Courtesy: Reuters February 21, 2022. Thank you.
“An immediate and comprehensive ceasefire
Withdrawal of all heavy weapons by both sides
Monitoring and verification by the OSCE
To start a dialogue on interim self-government for the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, in accordance with Ukrainian law, and acknowledge their special status by parliamentary resolution.
A pardon and amnesty for people involved in the fighting
An exchange of hostages and prisoners.
Provision of humanitarian assistance.
Resumption of socio-economic ties, including pensions.
Restoration of full control of the state border by the government of Ukraine.
Withdrawal of all foreign armed formations, military equipment and mercenaries.
Constitutional reform in Ukraine including decentralisation, with specific mention of Donetsk and Luhansk.
Elections in Donetsk and Luhansk on terms to be agreed with their representatives.
Intensifying the work of a Trilateral Contact Group comprising representatives of Russia, Ukraine and the OSCE.”
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As mentioned above, Moscow insists Kiev to implement Minsk accord. Kiev on their part disapprove some enforcements of the Minsk deal. Kiev also revealed on the Minsk agreement being forced upon them by Moscow via threats and coercion.
Ukraine has a fair point and reason for reservations. For any agreement to be effective, the terms and conditions have to be multilaterally amicable rather than unilateral imposition against one side creating undue advantage for others in the matter.
At the same time, Ukraine must also accept responsibility for the events since 2014 that began in Kiev’s maidan square allowing the west i.e. the European Union (EU) and United States to sabotage Ukraine’s territorial integrity via the western imperialist divide and conquer strategy that segregated Ukraine into pro-west in western and pro-Russian in eastern Ukraine. Arguably, both have specific demands and expectations from Kiev, the central authority then notably in foreign control and domestically comprising arbitrary decision makers in power.
Whatever has happened so far is extremely unfortunate for Ukraine. The immediate actions required for Ukraine to restore peace and stability are as follows:
Ukraine – Russia Permanent Peace Treaty 2022 – 20 point
1. Ukraine – Russia Permanent Peace Treaty 2022Ukraine government and politics in general must abandon fascist ideology and neo-nazi elements within to start afresh on viable functional vibrant democracy. The present and future democratic governments in Kiev crackdown on corruption in the system would spare the country from foreign and domestic economic abuse as well as exploitation that are fundamental cause in Ukraine’s status quo
2. Ukraine government and political factions should disavow violence and aggressive approach towards Ukrainians in eastern Ukraine i.e. Donbas region. The citizens in Donetsk and Luhansk are to be treated and acknowledged as Ukrainians first barring any form of discrimination and isolation based on ethnicity, language such as Russian speaking and any cultural distinction.
3. Ukraine to adopt stringent security measures to protect citizens in eastern Ukraine – Donetsk and Luhansk Donbas region. The Ukraine peace keeping forces to be deployed to prevent any violence and unrest in these territories with citizens in Donetsk and Luhansk guaranteed absolute peace, safety and security in their domain. The dissent should be resolved peacefully without any use of violence such as shooting and other form of life threatening tactics and mechanism.
4. Ukrainian national guards and border security forces to be positioned in eastern Ukraine synonymous to other border frontiers to maintain Ukraine’s territorial rights from foreign infiltration without exception viz. Russia or the west and anyone from anywhere.
5. Donetsk and Luhansk – the self-declared republics are not really independent due to Moscow’s military protection in the form of occupation sought from Moscow against Ukrainian violence experienced in the last eight years of conflict. The status is being resolved with Ukraine government under this 2022 treaty by delivering the necessary safety and security not only in Donetsk and Luhansk but entire eastern Ukraine. The issue should no longer be the concern moving forward towards permanent peace barring willful violations from any front.
6. The citizens in Donetsk and Luhansk as Ukrainians have no reason to breakaway with their territories situated in eastern part of Ukraine. The security issue being addressed under this treaty, the two separatists states are better off in a new democratic Ukraine with better economic prospects and importantly political freedom.
7. Donetsk and Luhansk citizens would elect their representatives in the respective states and be represented in Ukrainian Parliament with people choice elected members in a free and fair election conforming to Ukrainian constitution and election rule.
8. Ukraine government to extend economic opportunity, education, health choices beside social, cultural freedom and other essential requirements for safe normal existence to citizens in Donetsk and Luhansk similar to the rest of Ukraine
9. Donetsk and Luhansk to remain an integral part of Ukraine in the eastern region. The citizens in these two states would have equal political rights and freedom as Ukraine citizens in the rest of the country. Both states would receive federal funding from Kiev towards public projects and facilities such as railway, national highways, airports, national parks, waters and other reserves in the eastern region. The states would be run and governed with autonomy by citizens elected state government. The two states Donetsk and Luhansk would constitute union of Ukraine People’s Republic under Ukraine constitution.
10. The citizens in these two states and from this region would have explicit rights to serve in Ukrainian army to defend their territory and that of the country they are part of now and in the future.
11. Instant and irrevocable ceasefire from all sides in Donetsk, Luhansk – the Donbas region and entire eastern Ukraine is paramount on permanent basis.
12. The situation will be monitored by representatives from Kiev, Donetsk and Luhansk peace keeping force representing civilians not any separatists or political factions on either side.
13. The prisoners, hostages and other captives held in each other’s custody in the course of eight years conflict in ethnic violence to be pardoned and released on the condition to serve the community as productive citizens and never engage in violence or communal riots and disturbance.
14. Russian Federation to end militarization and occupation of Ukraine effective immediately. The Russian forces withdrawal ceasing military operations on air, ground and naval base in eastern and the rest of Ukraine is critical to initiate and implement peace process.
15. The Russian influence on Donetsk, Luhansk and Donbas region in any format like military assistance, training and equipment would be violation of Ukrainian sovereignty and represent foreign intervention. Hence, Russian political leadership and those behind interventionist policy in Kremlin renouncing such interference is imperative for peaceful co-existence among population in Donbas region, Ukraine as a whole nation and Russia, the indefinite neighbor and peace partner.
16. Ukraine to remain a neutral nation and not become a NATO ally under any pressure, incentives or disguised representation. The status is not only important for Ukraine’s independence but also the latest development exemplify the true spirit lacking among NATO against Ukraine especially in the reality of EU and United States generated catastrophe in 2014 prolonged till date.
The 1994 Budapest memorandum signed by the United States, Britain and Russia to honor sovereignty, independence and protect non-nuclear states like Ukraine and other former Soviet republics subsequent to nuclear disarmament has been completely ignored and violated despite reminder from the current Kiev government of President Volodymyr Zelensky prior to Russian invasion last week.
17. Ukraine citizens including Donetsk and Luhansk population to receive economic assistance from United States and European Union as reparation and restoration costs suffered by Ukraine collectively until now.The economic compensation to be transacted in transparent public trust set up with international independent committee monitoring fund appropriation to revive Ukrainian economy together with Donbas region as Ukraine territory.
The financial contributions is a result of United States and European Union being directly responsible for Ukraine’s status quo originating from western insurrection against Kiev’s democratically elected government in Maidan square in 2014 and successive meddling contributing to loss of Crimea to Russia and separatisms in eastern Donbas region.
Additionally, the members involved in western insurrection in 2014 should pay Ukraine citizens for the loss incurred by them. The payment to be expended on public projects like schools, health care centers and Ukrainian public welfare. The individuals from the west behind Ukraine insurrection in Maidan square should be subject to similar laws applied against United States citizens on January 6, 2021 Capital riots in Washington, D.C. Since the incident occurred in foreign soil viz. Ukraine, the foreign perpetrators of Ukrainian insurrection to be subject to international law.
18. Russia to compensate Ukraine on the military invasion on February 24, 2022 until now to rebuild infrastructure brought down with Russian military strikes and air assault.
19. Ukraine to receive humanitarian aid from UN and western organizations to rehabilitate Ukrainians forced to flee their homeland as refugees across the border for safe return home.
20. Ukraine’s sovereignty and boundary with Russia, Belarus and NATO allies Poland, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania and Black sea to be free from nuclear arsenal and all form of military artillery near and far.
The clause binds Russia and NATO as two nuclear and military powers remaining existential threat to all nations in the region. Therefore, Russia and NATO are obligatory to remove military and nuclear weapons from the region.
Ukraine to provide absolute and comprehensive economic support and security to all citizens in Donbas region – Donetsk and Luhansk to continue as Union of Ukraine sovereignty.
That covers the Ukraine -Russia permanent peace deal.
Briefly in relation to the ongoing crisis, NATO amassed troops in Poland and other NATO ally nations to defend them in the region while leaving Ukraine to fend for itself besides supply of weapons to Ukraine at the eleventh hour. The flurry of western sanctions against Russian banks and political members are preemptive measure to protect own interests in Europe.
The western response to this effect might be they were heeding Russian President Vladimir Putin’s warning to outside forces with particular reference to western intrusion in the conflict that would otherwise trigger nuclear option.
Russia obliging western predictions on Russian invasion of Ukraine. The west retreating on Russia’s overt nuclear threat make both of them partners in a well coordinated armed conflict with Ukraine paying the price as battleground.
Important lesson in this crisis is never to expect or believe the ones harming and inflicting extensive damages to come around and heal or restore conditions to normal.
On nuclear fronts, the time has arrived and in fact was long overdue for global denuclearization without exception. The major nuclear powers like the United States and Russia along with others maintaining false notion of them being responsible nuclear powers and assuming other nuclear aspirants the reckless in the nuclear club is debunked by none other than them and their public rhetoric.
In the United States, the republican and democrat Presidents as well Presidential candidates have unabashedly used the typical Presidential line – all options are on the table meaning would not shy away from using nuclear weapons.
The extreme statements in recent times have been delivered from the left and right.
The democrat Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton in 2008 Presidential election – Upon being elected President of the United States would not hesitate to Obliterate Iran with nuclear might. The statement was made by then Presidrntial candidate Hillary Clinton predominantly to appease AIPAC – the American Israel Public Affairs Committee.
The democrat President Barack H. Obama toeing the line with republican predecessor President George W.Bush repeatedly used – all options are on the table against Iran, Syria and North Korea among others in the adversarial listing.
The republican President Donald J. Trump took the extreme posturing and clarified verbatim to North Korean Head of State and Leader Kim Jong Un on the American nuclear potency.
Then President Donald Trump issued a statement to North Korea on nuclear threats – “they will be met with fire and fury the world has never eeen before in history.”
The former President Donald Trump tweeted – “I too have a Nuclear Button, but it is a much bigger & more powerful one than his, and my Button works!”
Now, Russian President Vladimir Putin evidently didn’t want to be left behind in the nuclear threat race and placed the world on notice with the Ukraine crisis escalating to nuclear confrontation with the west.
North Korean leader and head of the state Kim Jong-Un conveys nuclear message via ballistic missile.
Indian Prime Minister – the incumbent PM Narendra Modi boasted to rural voters in the election campaign rally that India’s nuclear arsenal are not cosmetic like Diwali fire crackers citing the nuclear weapons could be deployed on moments notice. The message was directed at the neighbor and rival Pakistan, another nuclear state in the Indian sub-continent.
These reasons abundantly justify for the world to be rid of nuclear menace once and for all. Small or big actors on stage, the nuclear arsenal at their disposal endanger the world and humanity at large.
All efforts and resources must be invested in global nuclear disarmament, freeing the world from living on the edge and rescuing humanity from forbidden nuclear holocaust.
The topic will focus on steps and systematic elimination of nuclear weapons in the planet.
Thank you.
Padmini Arhant
Author & Presenter
PadminiArhant.com
Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com
Human Suffering Discrimination.
March 4, 2022
Human Suffering Discrimination
Padmini Arhant
There are variety in discriminations as the world gets bogged down in narratives than truth and factual information.
The media rancor and opinionated slurs dominant in air waves and all or any available communication outlets continue with no moment of pause.
The denial in tragedies resulting in deaths and destruction of innocent lives however being discriminated is the worst and ugliest form.
The people who died and still dying from the global pandemic is irrefutable and incontrovertible. Similarly the victims of unnecessary warfare in Ukraine costing the lives of Ukrainians and Russians are equally regrettable.
The global pandemic triggered from lab manufactured deadly pathogen consuming and crippling lives in millions is as reprehensible as the ongoing war against the people of Ukraine brought upon from the days of western insurrection in Kiev Maidan Square in 2014.
Those inflicting deaths and devastation via the global pandemic or bombing and shelling cities forcing evacuation of population from their homeland cannot justify their actions one way or another.
Human pain and suffering evaluated on geographical lines and partisan politics protecting and shielding those responsible for colossal health and economic disaster via the pandemic while blowing the whistle on warfare reveals true colors of prejudice.
The power, authority, wealth and influential status at the helm misused and abused delivering humanitarian misery, health, economic and political crises whether in biowarfare such as the pandemic or the military invasion and occupation in Ukraine are unacceptable and condemnable.
The call for accountability on the global pandemic with grueling ramifications worldwide is persona non grata (unwelcome) for those expressing selective empathy on the events of their choice.
Such discrimination in these developments is beneath human value and disposition raising moral ground disingenuous in nature.
Padmini Arhant
Author & Presenter
PadminiArhant.com
Prskrithi.PadminiArhant.com
Military Industrial Complex Profiteering from Wars
March 3, 2022
Military Industrial Complex Profiteering from Wars
Padmini Arhant
War is a racket designed to exhaust military hardware and stockpiles on the battleground usually targeting weak and vulnerable nations near and far.
The objectives behind warfare is lost cause delivering deaths and devastations on all sides with no winners except the profiteers making a killing from killing innocent civilians and defense personnel especially young men and women on both sides forced into offense and defense line of action.
The defense contractors representing leading defense manufacturing sector with investors raking profits from bloodbath and bodybags unabashedly hire political authorities to conduct war games in territories primed and prepared with unrest and volatility serving as the premise for military invasion and occupation.
The head of the state primary role upon assuming office in the so-called democratic and non-democratic setting is chief sales executive to procure and supply weapons benefiting the military industrial complex and stakeholders – incognito wealthiest in the world.
What do they care?
After all they are lining their coffers at the ordinary lives expense.
Why would they be concerned about fatal ramifications?
Whether in terms of loss of lives and/or the living for survivors affected in wars made impossible lasting over generations.
Furthermore, waging wars expending military inventory requires replenishment for next round someplace else displaying fire power. The cyclical stockpiling and offloading continued with gluttonous greed having no limit.
Peace and dialogue are too inconvenient and often carried out with the intended outcome to be a failure.
Ironically, the incentives to promoters executing warfare with adeptness in producing massive casualties and refugee status are handsomely rewarded monetarily and in certain instances extraordinarily with Nobel Peace Prize in advance.
The war games are played to appease the beneficiaries and satisfy political aspirations despite the well- recognized and understood aftermath of financial mayhem and economic downfall brought upon the nation and population in self-inflicted crisis.
There is nothing to be proud of in engagement reeking violence and aggression claiming lives and demolition of infrastructure. Human mind losing control over ill-will and surrender to folly leading to uninhibited catastrophe is not only inappropriate for the much touted manhood but also egregious in defining human value and worthiness.
The end to military intervention in Ukraine and resuming humanitarian efforts to heal and revive the two nations – Ukraine and Russia is the only alternative and priority at all costs to save and protect lives that matter the most above any sales and profits from warfare.
Padmini Arhant
Author & Presenter
PadminiArhant.com
Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com
Ukraine – Russia Must End Invasion with Immediate Ceasefire
February 28, 2022
Ukraine – Russia Must End Invasion
with Immediate
Ceasefire
Padmini Arhant
The Ukraine – Russia Permanent Peace Treaty 2022 will be presented and published momentarily.
Meanwhile, Russian President Vladimir Putin authorized shelling and bombing of Ukraine viz. Kharkiv and eastern Ukraine cities is in direct violation of 2014 and 2015 Minsk agreements I and II, the 1994 Budapest memorandum to which Russia is signatory and obligatory to respect, acknowledge and protect Ukraine’s sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity.
Russian military attacks on Ukraine is contradictory in actions amid the first round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine held near Ukraine and Belarus border earlier in the day on Monday – Feb 28, 2022.
Peace and war cannot be conducted simultaneously as the purpose of peace talks is to reconcile differences among warring factions and submit to de-escalate and not intensify violence. In this particular warfare Ukraine is defending own nation and people from Russian military engagement in Ukraine whereas Russia is unrelenting to ceasefire.
The international news reports confirming the Russian bombing of Ukraine’s world largest cargo plane AN-225 and infrastructure is reprehensible and clarifies paradoxical position by the Russian leadership in the present time.
Russian President Vladimir Putin’s egregious decision to inflict enormous damages and destruction in Ukraine is not only affecting Ukrainian innocent civilians forced to flee the war zone.
The impulsive military aggression is hurting Russian population and economy as well.
Accordingly, Russian President Vladimir Putin ending the military operation against Ukraine with immediate ceasefire and withdrawal of Russian troops and artillery from Ukrainian territories is not an option rather necessity and critical to experience any success in peaceful negotiations with the other side.
The major powers not barring Russia has been unable to achieve positive outcome from military interventions anywhere thus far. It is not going to be different in Ukraine either despite any satisfaction on carnage from military presence and deployment of deadly weapons in Ukraine.
Needless to say destruction of lives, cities and nation’s economic assets with military involvement unleash unpredictable situations invariably leading to undesirable chain reaction and negative end result.
President Vladimir Putin’s admission during press conference to a french reporter – “there are no winners in warfare and certainly not in a nuclear brinkmanship” is to be recognized now and acted upon bringing the war to conclusion with no further delay or procrastination.
President Vladimir Putin responsibility as the leader and head of the state of a nuclear Russia is not limited to Russian population alone.
President Vladimir Putin ‘s action and decisions in the precarious moment has global ramifications that are not to be ignored.
Russia sharing the burden as a vast nuclear power is incumbent to end conflict and resume peace talks in the interests of Russia, Ukraine and the world at large.
Padmini Arhant
Author & Presenter
PadminiArhant.com
Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com
Russia – Ukraine Crisis
February 23, 2022
Ukraine – Russia
Peace Treaty 2022
Padmini Arhant
The topic will be presented with focus on Ukraine including the eastern Ukraine – Donbas region and Russia .
The comprehensive details will address concerns, grievances and relevant matter on all sides.
Padmini Arhant
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Russia – Domestic Priorities
Padmini Arhant
Russian Government press TASS news agency reports 133,000 new COVID cases per day with many critically ill hospitalized right now.
The western insurrection in 2014 until now having been instrumental for Ukraine’s status quo now imposing sanctions against Russia targeting the Nord stream 2 Pipeline and key economic assets would further cripple already struggling Russian economy. Moscow is responsible for the latest impulsive action in the invasion of Ukraine ignoring well meaning cautions to resist such pressure and exercise discernment from economic and security standpoint of Russians, Ukrainians including the eastern Ukraine Donbas region. The economic crisis is going to deepen affecting not just Russia, Ukraine and Europe but the entire world.
The global pandemic having inflicted tremendous pain and suffering health and economic wise, the unnecessary warfare in Ukraine simply to exhibit military might and out-of-control delivery in air strikes, missiles and air raid in Kiev and other parts of Ukraine is extremely irresponsible and reckless action from Moscow.
Russian President Vladimir Putin latest invitation to Kiev for talks stated via Kremlin’s Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov could have been extended prior to Moscow’s shelling and authorization of troops mobilization into Ukraine’s territory. Alternatively, Moscow could have at least provided Kiev an opportunity when President Volodymyr Zelenskyy was requesting President Vladimir Putin over phone call to resolve via peaceful talks and direct communication.
Nonetheless, the Russian political leadership stance and words have been subject to speculations and skepticisms by own action in the last 48 hours on the burgeoning issue. Moscow repeatedly claiming to have no plans to invade Ukraine while having deployed at least 200,000 troops all around Ukraine since November 2021 and until now is a major trust factor for Russia.
The public press release from Moscow through Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) categorically denying all information in this regard and reiterating no incursions around Ukraine only proven otherwise with the military assault this morning and confirmation from Moscow to this effect. Such involvement from Moscow raise questions on seriousness to engage in peaceful discourse and settle the dispute once and for all. Furthermore, Moscow abruptly springing a surprise rather shockwaves via air strikes and missiles targeting Ukraine’s sensitive infrastructure on Thursday morning only highlights Moscow’s indecisive and untrustworthy decisions and actions so far against Ukraine.
President Vladimir Putin’s leadership is challenged by self-determined counterproductive engagement against Ukraine. Moscow’s issues and bone of contention is against NATO as revealed by President Vladimir Putin time and time again. The west are equally if not more culpable for not allowing diplomacy and dialogue a chance to avert Russian military intervention against Ukraine known well ahead of time and confirmed by western intelligence in the entire year 2021.
Any nation and political leadership in particular as the head of the state default on their word and written commitment such as Moscow’s guarantee and pledge not to invade Ukraine and proceed towards aggression destroying lives, infrastructure and economy has invited upon itself mistrust and misgivings from many near and far raising a credibility issue on accepting anything from them on formal or informal basis. Moscow has placed itself in a situation from being responsible and discerning to impulsive and reactionary force letting the worst get the best out of it that are neither beneficial nor respectable for a nation like Russia.
President Vladimir Putin ending the military raid and invasion of Ukraine effective immediately is the preliminary step towards preventing deaths and devastation of Ukraine. Russia expressing empathy for Ukrainians as part of Russian society and simultaneously shelling the same citizens homes and environment with heavy artillery and high grade military weapons clearly reveal the negative detrimental course underway right now.
In order to commence any direct dialogue with Kiev, it is imperative for Moscow to cease military operation in the immediate moment without caving and cowering to any pressure or influence of any kind from anywhere. Moscow’s demands and Kiev’s position could only be reconciled with Moscow terminating military and other form of invasion and occupation of Ukraine.
Kiev’s preparedness to end this conflict is also dependent on Ukraine being spared from militarization by Moscow and the west in respect for Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. The failure in this regard from Moscow or the west would testify the lack of interest and initiative to acknowledge Ukraine’s independence as a free nation.
The details on Russia – Ukraine Peace Treaty will be elaborated shortly.
Padmini Arhant
Author & Presenter
PadminiArhant.com
Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com
________________________________________
Ukraine Invasion
Padmini Arhant
President Vladimir Putin up until yesterday categorically denied any invasion plans or troop deployment in Ukraine. The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) publicly clarified to this effect in the 10 page document press release on February 17, 2022.
The latest development from Russian political leadership President Vladimir Putin authorizing invasion of Donbas in eastern Ukraine exemplify lack of trustworthiness in Moscow’s position. Moscow’s action is contradictory to Moscow’s open statement.
President Vladimir Putin further called the incumbent Ukrainian government in Kiev – “an american puppet.” When in fact, Moscow is obliging western predictions on Russian invasion of Ukraine.
The status quo defines Who is who?
Action speaks louder than words in all matter.
Padmini Arhant
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Russia – NATO
Permanent Peace Deal 2022
Padmini Arhant
by
The content in the message is presented as constructive data.The substance draws global attention to real events, policies and decisions describing the state of affairs between Russia and NATO and the world.
Russia – NATO Permanent Peace Deal 2022
The two powerful sides viz. Russia and United States led NATO continue to dispute on security in eastern Europe. Though both sides have their share of arguments and justifications in this matter, the present situation calls for a permanent security arrangement in recognition of all nations sovereignty and territorial integrity in eastern Europe. Notwithstanding the global peace and security is endangered considering the alarming nuclear status of both Russia and United States together with NATO allies posing a major threat in the present time.
To begin with, it is important for all sides to focus on current problems, recent events i.e. since the turn of the twenty first century with geopolitical and geoeconomics landscape shifting dramatically in the region and worldwide.
NATO led by United States has to leave the cold war era with former U.S.S.R behind and engage with Russia as a sovereign nation equivalent in nuclear power if not more besides being a permanent member in the UN security council with veto entitlement. As a sovereign nation, Russia has genuine security concerns regarding NATO presence and alliance near Russian territory. According to United States and NATO, the alliance is claimed as defense strategy against Russia from any potential threats in eastern and central Europe. The western position against Russia in this regard might very well be based on twentieth century school of thoughts and think tanks as well as cold war renegades perspective.
However, in the twenty first century, upon evaluating military interventions, illegal invasion and occupation of foreign land globally, United States and NATO combined forces by far rank the front runner and foremost aggressor followed by China. Again, the twenty first century first quarter in the last two decades United States and NATO footprints on foreign soil via military bases, naval and air dominance is widely known and prevalent until now.
The world war II in 1942 brought Germany and Japan’s imperial quest to an end. UNSC was formed without them. The two nations Germany and Japan diverted course from political and military status to build economic strength and have successfully become economically stable nations since then. In comparison with Germany and Japan, Russia became the UNSC permanent member with veto power and sought imperial status as USSR in the latter half of twentieth century. This route proved extremely arduous and economically challenging for USSR and consequentially led to the collapse of Soviet Union. Russia in the course of UNSC formation and membership also became the nuclear power like the rest of the UNSC permanent members viz. United States, Britain, France and China. Among the UNSC five permanent members, following former Soviet Union dissolution, Russia lags behind the other four members viz. the United States, Britain, France and China in threatening foreign sovereignty and border incursions in different parts of the world. Interestingly, the five permanent members have imperialistic past and present track record with west as NATO along with United States and China are existential threat to sovereignty and territorial integrity at the moment.
Not to mention, the United States, western Europe and China partnership in the worst health and economic disaster unleashed through global pandemic until now is a verifiable experience.
The Russian Federation since disintegration of Soviet Union is struggling economically due to multifaceted reasons and one of them being western sanctions urging Russia to conform to western style democracy which in itself is highly questionable and accordingly merit exclusive focus on this topic which will be presented in the immediate future.
The world witnessed United States and NATO endeavors on democracy in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, Thailand and Ukraine to name a few in the last two decades of modern age.
The end results were as follows:
Iraq was not democratized instead demolished by United States and NATO via invasion and occupation.
Afghanistan is Talibanized after two decades of United States and NATO shelling and occupation of the country leaving Afghan women, children and youth at the mercy of Taliban government. The disorganized withdrawal in 2021 by United States and NATO in compliance with Taliban demands produced mayhem with locals latching on to airplane wings to flee Taliban rule. The foreigners mostly United States defense personnel and family were stranded for months end and many are still desperately trying to exit since Taliban takeover of the Islamic state.
Libya was not liberated and in turn transformed into a lawless land with free self serve on Libyan oil by foreign entities is the norm in the aftermath of NATO bombing the north African country.
Syria was decimated under the pretext of democratization leaving millions of Syrians displaced in their homeland with political asylum denied for Syrian refugees in the aggressors land.
Thailand – The democratically elected government headed by Yingluck Shinawatra in 2011 was forcefully and undemocratically removed from office by turning off electric power supply to the serving Prime Minister’s office. The direct western intrusion in Thailand replaced then democratically elected government accused of corruption with incorrigibly corrupt military junta in 2014.
Ukraine was introduced to startling real insurrection in the most violent format with democratically elected government of President Viktor Yanukovich forced out of office literally at gun point in world view in 2014.
Needless to say, the slew of United States led western decapitation of democracy was underway in different parts of the world in 2014.
Amid these events, Ukraine in particular held hostage since 2014 by the west – United States and EU direct meddling and installation of neo-nazi governments post western coup in that country.
The irony is the rhetoric echoed following the script warning Russia against invasion of Ukraine. When in fact, it is not if Russia invades Ukraine, the reality is Ukraine already invaded and occupied since 2014 by western political and economic stakeholders reaping personal financial gains at ordinary Ukrainians expense. The latest revelation is expecting Ukraine to become a NATO ally in the controversial NATO’s open door policy inviting members in Europe, the eastern Europe as the focal point leading to status quo.
Clearly, United States and NATO role in the twenty first century could hardly be justified as defensive anywhere in the absence of overt or covert security threats to United States and western states from nations targeted by the U.S. and NATO so far.
The economic sanctions used and exploited by the west against nations designated as indefinite adversaries constitute economic war. It is also the most inhumane and hostile action predominantly affecting innocent populations of the country as well as the rest of the world with businesses deprived of inter-economic opportunity from these nations.
Juxtaposed, no western nations or allies regardless of chaos and catastrophe inflicted by them worldwide have ever been subject to economic sanctions or trade embargo that are otherwise common practice against non-western nations in the past and present. The western trend continued till date raise questions on ethical and democratic essence ignored time and time again by the so-called western democracy.
The another bone of contention for United States against Russia is strategic arms including long and short range ballistic missiles that are now in place with the New START treaty extended in 2021. The original START treaty between United States and Russia signed in April 2010 was ratified in February 2011. The treaty set to expire in Feb 2021 was extended for another five years until February 2026 by the current administration in the United States with Russian Federation consent and cooperation. There should be really no issues in this regard barring non-compliance from either side. Although, the imminent requirement is global denuclearization and nuclear disarmament as elaborated by me in this domain padminiarhant.com since 2008 and until now.
There is no doubt nuclear threat continues to endanger life and humanity at large even though contemporarily mankind forced to deal with global pandemic let loose by withholding critical scientific information. The biowarfare via pathogens of tremendous potency in mutation and virulence consumed several millions lives and crippled health and economic survival world over.
United States and NATO citing Russia’s cold war tendency engaged in not only building NATO alliance in eastern Europe but also utilize the eastern bloc as defacto nuclear partners against Russia. This setting is very similar to United States arrangement in Korean Peninsula and Asia Pacific arguably against other nations viz. North Korea and China sharing borders with Russia.
All around, Russia is faced with United States and NATO incursions in the Baltic Sea, Black Sea, Caspian sea, South China Sea and Yellow Sea – the Russian neighbors Iran on Caspian sea, China and North Korea on South China and Yellow sea. These are maritime borders where United States routinely conducts naval and military exercise. Additionally, United States is militarily engaged against Iran, North Korea and China in this part of the world. Russia as a neighbor has to contend with this dilemma as well.
United States and NATO issues against Russia is cold war calculations reminiscent of Soviet era. Henceforth, the west seek non-adversarial relations from Russia towards neighbors in eastern bloc. Russia has rejected such western claims and project NATO occupation near Russian territory as the burgeoning issue.
Russian Federation clarifications on former Soviet nations and territories in eastern and central Europe as well as Central Asia as independent sovereign states with demarcated boundaries is to be stated and incorporated in the Russia – NATO accord. Russian military activities whether on Black or Baltic sea and land drills should be on Russian land and waters to dispel any concerns on possible Russian infringement on territorial rights of states near and far from Russia. The states in this context are Ukraine and Georgia with whom Russia is yet to reconcile normal relations in all fronts i.e. mutually beneficial political, economic and cultural ties to maintain peace and security. The Baltic states Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania as EU members and NATO allies are weaponized including nuclear stock piles with training on the use of nuclear arsenal or component is Russia’s one of many major complaints that are detailed here.
Having examined United States and NATO apprehensions against Russia, there is no ambivalence they are associated with former Soviet Union. Any repeat developments from Russia in the present time is not apparent on the international and territorial infiltration. Crimea is a state referendum and constitutional amendment driven union with Russian Federation of Crimean citizens’ choice. Furthermore as stated earlier on this topic, the Crimea and Ukraine status quo is entirely and exclusively brought upon by United States and EU insurrection on Ukraine’s then democratically elected government. The western acknowledgment in this respect is long overdue and would further assist in alleviating misconception on Russian territorial annexation on Crimea.
Russia’s stance – The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) published 10-page document on February 17, 2022. The main content was that the US and its allies refused to even address Russia’s “red lines” and key security interests. The MFA also addressed specific issues such as Ukraine, Crimea, US troop presence and weapons build-up along Russian borders, as well as arms control.
Moscow statement per MFA public release.
1.Russia has no plans to invade Ukraine. Moscow calls the conflict in Ukraine “entirely internal in character.”
2. Crimea case closed. As explained earlier, Crimea was a voluntary union with Russian Federation enabled by western generated political unrest and Ukraine accommodating such crisis on their turf in 2014.
3. US must withdraw from Russian borders.
Russia has “no forces on the territory of Ukraine,” the MFA said in the document, adding that the deployments of troops within Russia’s own territory “do not and cannot concern the fundamental interests of the United States.” By contrast, Russia said, the US and its NATO allies have expanded their military infrastructure eastward, violating both the 1990 Treaty on Conventional Forces in Europe (CFE) and the 1997 Founding Act on Mutual Relations, Cooperation and Security between Russia and NATO. Moscow insists on the withdrawal “of all US armed forces and weapons deployed in Central and Eastern Europe, Southeastern Europe, and the Baltics.”
4. Russia maintains NATO’s open doors policy violates Russian security.
While the US remains committed to NATO’s policy of “open doors” – not ruling out admission of any country that applies to the alliance – Moscow noted that this violates the commitments NATO made in June 1991, to not endanger legitimate interests of other states or create new lines of division in Europe.
It also clashes with the principle of indivisibility of security which the US committed to under the treaties that established the Organization for European Security Cooperation (OSCE), namely to “not to enhance their security at the expense of the security of others,” in Russia’s view. “We call on the US and NATO to return to their international obligations in the sphere of supporting peace and security,” the MFA said. “We expect from the alliance specific proposals on the form and content of legal guarantees that NATO will not expand further to the east.”
5. Moscow wants indivisible security for all not just NATO.
Washington needs to demonstrate it actually believes in the principle of indivisible security, Moscow argued, accusing the US of refusing to give up its “counterproductive and destabilizing course” of seeking advantages for itself and its allies at the expense of Russian security interests, while threatening Russia’s borders. In Moscow’s view, the right of countries to “freely choose or change their security arrangements, including entering alliances,” which the US cites, is not absolute, but is only half the formula contained in existing European security treaties. The document points out that Washington keeps omitting the second half, about not enhancing one’s own security at the expense of others.
6. No nukes in Europe from NATO.
There was no answer to the Russian proposal to stop deploying nuclear weapons outside one’s own territory – something the US has repeatedly done with NATO allies, in violation of the nuclear non-proliferation treaty (NPT), the MFA said. Such weapons are currently deployed in the territory of several NATO members and are capable of targeting Russia
Moscow insists they must be withdrawn, the infrastructure for quickly redeploying them to Europe dismantled, and NATO must stop training non-nuclear members in the handling of such weapons. “Without the removal of this irritant, discussion on the topic of non-strategic nuclear weapons is impossible,” Russia said
7. Violation of red lines may lead to military-technical response.
The US and NATO are increasing their military activity on Russia’s borders while ignoring Moscow’s “red lines” and fundamental security interests, the MFA said, describing the situation as a “cause for alarm.” Russia described ultimatums and threats of sanctions as “unacceptable” and said they undermine the chances of reaching actual diplomatic agreements. Since the US is not prepared to discuss firm and legally binding guarantees of Russian security, Moscow will be forced to respond, including “through the implementation of measures of a military-technical nature,” the MFA said.
United States and NATO occupation in eastern Europe is clearly the foundation of the lingering military standoff between two nuclear powers – the United States and Russia.
United States taxpayers are footing the bulk of NATO operation. The issue was brought to Europe’s attention by former President Donald Trump much to domestic political opponents and their European counterparts ire and criticism. The United Stared military bases around the world are close to nearly 1000 adding to phenomenal defense expenditure with American citizens burdened in sovereign debt.
In reality, the conventional warfare has shifted from ground to air, cyber and biological weapons like the global pandemic paralyzing health and economy in massive magnitude.
Furthermore, the purpose of nuclear status is increasingly proven an economic liability in maintenance and modernization. The nuclear prowess is claimed by nuclear states as defense mechanism in deterrence and not defiance. The nuclear stock piles among nuclear and non- nuclear nations’ possessions as defacto partners like with NATO exacerbate vulnerability in any region.
Overall, nuclear world endanger life, environment, global peace and security. No climate treaty is meaningful and effective alongside nuclear race and nuclear threats bringing nations to the brink of nuclear confrontation. The scenario has risen in the Cuban missile crises demanding reason and rationale to prevail at that time. The world has no option but to commit and begin nuclear disarmament without exception in clear transparency. The nuclear war would only make the world go blind. Such possibilities must be eliminated at all costs for there will be no winners and critically no survivors either to express regrets or rejoice the annihilation despite the latter bizarre response.
Russia’s security expectations as a sovereign nation is fair and reasonable. At the same time, Russia’s assurance exemplified in action providing synonymous sense of security, recognition of sovereignty and territorial integrity of nations near and far viz. Ukraine, Georgia, Azerbaijan and any former Soviet republics or for that matter the Russian naval base Tartus, Syria is imperative. Any form of occupation gaining sovereign jurisdiction such as in Tartus, Syria creates speculations on real intention with or without the occupied territories approval for their interim safety and national as well as regional security. In other words, occupation of foreign territory by any nation at any given time or prolonged period is violation of sovereignty and territorial integrity.
Russia in the domestic front moving towards republic elected and represented democracy is pertinent in realization of Russian citizens’ political rights to elect government and head of the state in a free and fair election. The election would be democratic only upon free access to political contenders of people’s choice to contest in local and national election without being denied participation and subject to any form of hostility and extremities such as imprisonment in the absence of fair trial. These are significant milestones for Russia, a nation that has come a long way with Russian citizens yet to experience true democracy.
Western democracy on the other hand prefers and support those so-called democracies obliging western foreign and economic policy that are designed to favor them and none other. The democratic systems exercising independence in terms of trading partners and economic viability are removed from governance or punished with economic sanctions – the convenient tool to isolate nations not in agreement with west on western policy.
The case in point is Ukraine in 2014. Then incumbent President Viktor Yanukovich choosing neighbor Russia for economic deals was not tolerated by EU prompting the violent coup d’etat with United States leading the insurrection against Ukrainian government in 2014.
The western democracy intolerance came to light in the wake of former German Navy Vice Admiral Kay-Achim Schoenbach comments on Russian President Vladimir Putin deserving respect and Crimea not winnable for Ukraine. The German Navy Chief had to resign for personal opinion on international matter.
Western democracy is debatable on all these grounds for not standing by the real democratic values and people’s choice leadership and government anywhere. On the contrary, the western initiated and instigated overthrow of democratic governments are prominent thus far. The western democracy paradoxical paradigm undermine democracy in nations enabling fundamentalism and other types of authoritarianism.
The unequivocal fact is governments are run by oligarchs regardless of the political system being democratic or not in the world. The European World Economic Forum, Secret Society originating from Bavaria, Germany and Bilderberg in Netherlands, World Health Organization debacle on the global pandemic, Swiss banks sheltering illegal money from anywhere fostering and fomenting corruption – the root cause behind developing nations hindrance in pervasive economic growth and development. These are few among several examples confirming conspicuous flaws in western democracy.
United States and NATO honoring Russia’s legitimate security interests with evacuation of NATO presence in eastern Europe and abandoning political and military interference in Ukraine and other states in that region would facilitate democracy and stability.
Europe n the second quarter of twenty first century is at the crossroads to migrate from military aggression via NATO against Russia to forge economic relations with Russia crucially in the energy sector given the geographic location and proximity. After all, when the war is over at some point in time, the economic priorities would have to be met somehow for existence. The choice between military incursions via NATO against Russia and economic benefits in energy and other trades from Russia could not be hard for Europe facing aging population and volatile economic prospects in the energy dependent manufacturing sector.
The western concept of globalized economy is contradictory to isolation, alienation and segregation policy that are proved counterproductive more than ever.
The relation between United States and Russia must improve in good faith and mutual trust as two equal, sensible and militarily sensitive partners pledged to denuclearization paving way for global peace, unity and harmony protecting humanity and environment not harming any life on earth. United States and NATO pursuing democratic and diplomatic means with Russia is prudent and promising in establishing permanent peace deal.
Above all, it is incumbent upon every nation to save the planet from peril averting danger from nuclear force, bio weapons and any other treacherous strategy against anyone anywhere in the world.
May peace and tranquility triumph for humanity progress and prosperity.
God bless humanity and the world at large.
Thank you.
Padmini Arhant
Author & Presenter
PadminiArhant.com
Prakrithi.PadminiArhant.com